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2026-04-11 · 5 min read · Free

What the shortlist review changed in Q1

Four review cases changed how we weight supply, yield, and confidence bands. Here's what moved.

Q1's review work changed three parts of the shortlist engine: approved supply now carries more weight in markets with thin rental depth, yield claims use wider confidence bands when rental evidence is sparse, and low-liquidity suburbs are less likely to receive a strong visible lens without supporting demand evidence.

The clearest lesson was supply timing. A suburb can have a real macro tailwind and still underperform if a nearby approved development adds competing stock before rents have time to reset. That signal now appears earlier in the scoring notes instead of being treated as a late due-diligence item.

Yield confidence also needed discipline. Two mid-ring Queensland examples had the right direction but too much implied precision. The model now handles those cases as evidence-supported but range-bound, which is more useful for a buyer than a neat single-point claim.

The important part is that changes flow back into the methodology and source notes. A shortlist engine only earns trust if the score can explain why it moved.

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